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学术研讨会

金融学系列讲座(2013-01)

发布时间:2013-02-16

题 目:Do Cash Flows of Growth Stocks Really Grow Faster

报告人:Huafeng (Jason) Chen, University of British Columbia

时 间:2013年2月21日(周四)10:00-11:30

地 点:成人直播新楼217室

Abstract:Contrary to conventional wisdom, growth stocks (low book-to-market stocks) do not have substantially higher future cash-flow growth rates or substantially longer cash-flow durations than value stocks, in both rebalanced and buy-and-hold portfolios. The efficiency growth, survivorship and look-back biases, and rebalancing effect help explain the results. This finding suggests that duration alone is unlikely to explain the value premium. Using rebalanced portfolios, I find that, consistent with asset pricing models that feature countercyclical risk premiums, there is a growth premium in the cross section of stock returns. That is, risky assets with higher expected cash-flow growth rates have higher expected returns, after controlling for cash-flow risks.

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